Serie B · Matchweek 11
Padova
PAD
Empoli
EMP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Padova34%
Draw29%
Empoli37%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.32
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–08.9%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Empoli will have the ball; Padova will not mind.
40%Possession52%
39%Territory32%
37%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.07
7.2%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Padova, 3 for Empoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.