Serie B · Matchweek 11
Padova
PAD
Empoli
EMP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Padova38%
Draw29%
Empoli33%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.21
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Empoli get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
39%Possession47%
34%Territory34%
18%From set plays34%
0.11Chance quality0.06
5.7%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Padova, 4 for Empoli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Padova
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.