Serie B · Matchweek 11
Mantova
MAN
Hellas Verona
HEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mantova44%
Draw26%
Hellas Verona30%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.32
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–27.3%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hellas Verona will have the ball; Mantova will not mind.
44%Possession63%
33%Territory50%
19%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.15
7.0%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mantova, 3 for Hellas Verona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.