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Serie B · Matchweek 11

LR Vicenza

LRV

Cremonese

CRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LR Vicenza38%
Draw27%
Cremonese35%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.39

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LR Vicenza get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession43%
37%Territory42%
63%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.14
6.9%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for LR Vicenza, 4 for Cremonese.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.