Serie B · Matchweek 11
LR Vicenza
LRV
Cremonese
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LR Vicenza42%
Draw26%
Cremonese32%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.36
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession54%
42%Territory42%
25%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.12
8.2%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LR Vicenza, 3 for Cremonese. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.