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Serie B · Matchweek 11

Juve Stabia

JUV

Arezzo

ARE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Juve Stabia63%
Draw22%
Arezzo15%

Expected goals

1.90 – 0.84

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.8%
  • 2–011.6%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juve Stabia will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.

51%Possession40%
31%Territory34%
36%From set plays31%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.0%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juve Stabia, 4 for Arezzo.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.