Serie B · Matchweek 11
Virtus Entella
VIR
Modena
MOD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Virtus Entella28%
Draw31%
Modena41%
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.19
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.3%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–013.3%
- 1–011.0%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Modena will have the ball; Virtus Entella will not mind.
49%Possession59%
36%Territory39%
49%From set plays22%
0.07Chance quality0.10
7.0%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Virtus Entella, 4 for Modena.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.