Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 11

Cesena

CES

Catanzaro

CAT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cesena43%
Draw26%
Catanzaro31%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.32

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Catanzaro will have the ball; Cesena will not mind.

49%Possession59%
31%Territory46%
26%From set plays6%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cesena, 3 for Catanzaro. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.