Serie B · Matchweek 11
Carrarese
CAR
Sampdoria
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Carrarese39%
Draw29%
Sampdoria32%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.21
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sampdoria will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.
34%Possession49%
38%Territory42%
43%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.11
4.2%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Carrarese, 3 for Sampdoria. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.