Serie B · Matchweek 11
Carrarese
CAR
Sampdoria
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Carrarese46%
Draw28%
Sampdoria26%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.01
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Carrarese will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.
56%Possession38%
35%Territory36%
15%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.9%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Carrarese, 4 for Sampdoria.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.