Serie B · Matchweek 11
Benevento
BEN
Avellino
AVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benevento34%
Draw28%
Avellino37%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.34
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–08.5%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benevento get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession42%
32%Territory28%
34%From set plays17%
0.06Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Benevento, 3 for Avellino. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.