Serie B · Matchweek 11
Ascoli
ASC
Palermo
PAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ascoli37%
Draw25%
Palermo38%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.60
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.0%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli will have the ball; Palermo will not mind.
66%Possession45%
42%Territory31%
43%From set plays14%
0.13Chance quality0.12
3.7%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ascoli, 4 for Palermo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.