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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 10

Hellas Verona

HEL

Carrarese

CAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hellas Verona47%
Draw26%
Carrarese28%

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.25

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hellas Verona will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.

63%Possession34%
50%Territory38%
16%From set plays43%
0.15Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hellas Verona, 3 for Carrarese. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.