Serie B · Matchweek 10
Sampdoria
SAM
Virtus Entella
VIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sampdoria39%
Draw29%
Virtus Entella32%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.16
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sampdoria get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession54%
42%Territory41%
27%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.4%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sampdoria, 3 for Virtus Entella. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.