Serie B · Matchweek 10
Palermo
PAL
LR Vicenza
LRV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palermo64%
Draw20%
LR Vicenza15%
Expected goals
2.17 – 1.01
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.9%
- 1–09.7%
- 1–19.1%
- 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession49%
37%Territory42%
26%From set plays25%
0.10Chance quality0.09
4.0%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Palermo, 3 for LR Vicenza. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.