Serie B · Matchweek 10
Modena
MOD
Mantova
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Modena54%
Draw26%
Mantova20%
Expected goals
1.65 – 0.94
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.9%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Modena will have the ball; Mantova will not mind.
54%Possession44%
49%Territory33%
21%From set plays19%
0.07Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Modena, 3 for Mantova. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.