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Serie B · Matchweek 10

Empoli

EMP

Juve Stabia

JUV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Empoli39%
Draw29%
Juve Stabia32%

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.14

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.1%
  • 1011.6%
  • 0110.2%
  • 0010.1%
  • 218.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Empoli get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

52%Possession58%
32%Territory30%
38%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.07
5.5%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Empoli, 3 for Juve Stabia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.