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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 10

Cremonese

CRE

Benevento

BEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cremonese45%
Draw26%
Benevento29%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.25

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–27.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Cremonese will have the ball; Benevento will not mind.

54%Possession45%
42%Territory32%
13%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.06
4.8%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cremonese, 3 for Benevento. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.