Serie B · Matchweek 10
Avellino
AVE
Pisa
PIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Avellino46%
Draw26%
Pisa27%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.19
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession44%
28%Territory41%
17%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Avellino, 3 for Pisa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.