Serie B · Matchweek 10
Arezzo
ARE
Ascoli
ASC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arezzo32%
Draw26%
Ascoli42%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.57
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–18.9%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.
43%Possession64%
33%Territory49%
29%From set plays23%
0.07Chance quality0.13
9.6%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arezzo, 3 for Ascoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.