Serie B · Matchweek 9
Pisa
PIS
Palermo
PAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pisa26%
Draw25%
Palermo49%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.78
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–27.3%
- 2–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession52%
41%Territory37%
24%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.10
3.4%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pisa, 3 for Palermo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.