Serie B · Matchweek 9
Mantova
MAN
Cremonese
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mantova52%
Draw25%
Cremonese24%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.14
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cremonese will have the ball; Mantova will not mind.
44%Possession54%
33%Territory42%
19%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.12
7.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mantova, 3 for Cremonese. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.