Serie B · Matchweek 9
LR Vicenza
LRV
Modena
MOD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LR Vicenza22%
Draw26%
Modena53%
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.65
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.2%
- 1–111.7%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–29.4%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession54%
42%Territory49%
25%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.07
8.2%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LR Vicenza, 3 for Modena. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.