Serie B · Matchweek 9
Juve Stabia
JUV
Hellas Verona
HEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juve Stabia42%
Draw27%
Hellas Verona31%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.24
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession63%
30%Territory50%
21%From set plays16%
0.07Chance quality0.15
3.7%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juve Stabia, 3 for Hellas Verona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.