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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 9

Virtus Entella

VIR

Avellino

AVE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Virtus Entella44%
Draw28%
Avellino28%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.10

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Virtus Entella will have the ball; Avellino will not mind.

54%Possession42%
41%Territory28%
12%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Virtus Entella, 3 for Avellino. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.