Serie B · Matchweek 9
Carrarese
CAR
Arezzo
ARE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Carrarese53%
Draw24%
Arezzo23%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.13
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.5%
- 0–06.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arezzo will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.
34%Possession43%
38%Territory33%
43%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.2%Directness9.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Carrarese, 3 for Arezzo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.