Serie B · Matchweek 9
Ascoli
ASC
Sampdoria
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ascoli41%
Draw28%
Sampdoria31%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.21
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.
64%Possession49%
49%Territory42%
23%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.11
3.8%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ascoli, 3 for Sampdoria. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.