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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 8

Hellas Verona

HEL

Pisa

PIS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hellas Verona50%
Draw24%
Pisa25%

Expected goals

1.84 – 1.28

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hellas Verona will have the ball; Pisa will not mind.

63%Possession44%
50%Territory41%
16%From set plays24%
0.15Chance quality0.11
4.5%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hellas Verona, 3 for Pisa. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.