Serie B · Matchweek 8
Palermo
PAL
Carrarese
CAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palermo58%
Draw23%
Carrarese19%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.03
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.6%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.5%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Palermo will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.
52%Possession34%
37%Territory38%
26%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.08
4.0%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Palermo, 3 for Carrarese. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.