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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 8

Virtus Entella

VIR

Mantova

MAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Virtus Entella42%
Draw28%
Mantova31%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.23

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Virtus Entella will have the ball; Mantova will not mind.

54%Possession44%
41%Territory33%
12%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Virtus Entella, 3 for Mantova. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.