Serie B · Matchweek 8
Empoli
EMP
LR Vicenza
LRV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Empoli49%
Draw26%
LR Vicenza25%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.12
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession49%
32%Territory42%
38%From set plays25%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.5%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Empoli, 3 for LR Vicenza. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.