Serie B · Matchweek 8
Cremonese
CRE
Juve Stabia
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cremonese34%
Draw28%
Juve Stabia38%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.34
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–08.5%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession58%
42%Territory30%
13%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.8%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cremonese, 3 for Juve Stabia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.