Serie B · Matchweek 7
Hellas Verona
HEL
Catanzaro
CAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hellas Verona40%
Draw26%
Catanzaro34%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.44
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.1%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
63%Possession59%
50%Territory46%
16%From set plays6%
0.15Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hellas Verona, 3 for Catanzaro. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hellas Verona
Catanzaro
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.