Serie B · Matchweek 7
Padova
PAD
Virtus Entella
VIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Padova32%
Draw28%
Virtus Entella40%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.39
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Virtus Entella will have the ball; Padova will not mind.
40%Possession54%
39%Territory41%
37%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.10
7.2%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Padova, 3 for Virtus Entella. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.