Serie B · Matchweek 7
Mantova
MAN
Palermo
PAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mantova32%
Draw27%
Palermo41%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.53
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Palermo will have the ball; Mantova will not mind.
44%Possession52%
33%Territory37%
19%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.10
7.0%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mantova, 3 for Palermo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.