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Serie B · Matchweek 7

Juve Stabia

JUV

Südtirol

SDT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Juve Stabia42%
Draw31%
Südtirol28%

Expected goals

1.24 – 0.97

Over 2.5

38%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1013.8%
  • 1113.3%
  • 0012.3%
  • 0110.5%
  • 218.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juve Stabia will have the ball; Südtirol will not mind.

58%Possession48%
30%Territory35%
21%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.06
3.7%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juve Stabia, 3 for Südtirol. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.