Serie B · Matchweek 7
Carrarese
CAR
Modena
MOD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Carrarese25%
Draw28%
Modena47%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.46
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.6%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Modena will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.
34%Possession54%
38%Territory49%
43%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.2%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Carrarese, 3 for Modena. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.