Serie B · Matchweek 6
Südtirol
SDT
Ascoli
ASC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Südtirol41%
Draw29%
Ascoli30%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.10
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.1%
- 0–010.3%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli will have the ball; Südtirol will not mind.
48%Possession64%
35%Territory49%
14%From set plays23%
0.06Chance quality0.13
4.8%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Südtirol, 3 for Ascoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.