Serie B · Matchweek 6
Modena
MOD
Hellas Verona
HEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Modena56%
Draw25%
Hellas Verona20%
Expected goals
1.76 – 0.97
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hellas Verona will have the ball; Modena will not mind.
54%Possession63%
49%Territory50%
21%From set plays16%
0.07Chance quality0.15
5.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Modena, 3 for Hellas Verona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.