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Serie B · Matchweek 6

LR Vicenza

LRV

Pisa

PIS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LR Vicenza40%
Draw26%
Pisa34%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.43

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.4%
  • 218.7%
  • 108.3%
  • 127.8%
  • 017.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

49%Possession44%
42%Territory41%
25%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.11
8.2%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LR Vicenza, 3 for Pisa. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.