Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 6

Virtus Entella

VIR

Juve Stabia

JUV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Virtus Entella42%
Draw29%
Juve Stabia30%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.12

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

54%Possession58%
41%Territory30%
12%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.07
6.2%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Virtus Entella, 3 for Juve Stabia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.