Serie B · Matchweek 6
Catanzaro
CAT
Mantova
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Catanzaro45%
Draw26%
Mantova29%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.28
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.2%
- 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Catanzaro will have the ball; Mantova will not mind.
59%Possession44%
46%Territory33%
6%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Catanzaro, 3 for Mantova. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Catanzaro
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.