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Serie B · Matchweek 6

Arezzo

ARE

Cremonese

CRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Arezzo37%
Draw26%
Cremonese37%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.46

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.7%
  • 218.3%
  • 128.2%
  • 108.2%
  • 018.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Cremonese will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.

43%Possession54%
33%Territory42%
29%From set plays13%
0.07Chance quality0.12
9.6%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arezzo, 3 for Cremonese. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.