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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 5

Hellas Verona

HEL

LR Vicenza

LRV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hellas Verona53%
Draw24%
LR Vicenza23%

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.21

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 3–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hellas Verona will have the ball; LR Vicenza will not mind.

63%Possession49%
50%Territory42%
16%From set plays25%
0.15Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness8.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hellas Verona, 3 for LR Vicenza. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.