Serie B · Matchweek 5
Palermo
PAL
Padova
PAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palermo64%
Draw21%
Padova15%
Expected goals
2.09 – 0.95
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.6%
- 2–010.5%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Palermo will have the ball; Padova will not mind.
52%Possession40%
37%Territory39%
26%From set plays37%
0.10Chance quality0.11
4.0%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Palermo, 3 for Padova. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.