Serie B · Matchweek 5
Juve Stabia
JUV
Cesena
CES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juve Stabia39%
Draw28%
Cesena33%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.23
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juve Stabia will have the ball; Cesena will not mind.
58%Possession49%
30%Territory31%
21%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.10
3.7%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juve Stabia, 3 for Cesena. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.