Serie B · Matchweek 5
Cremonese
CRE
Virtus Entella
VIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cremonese34%
Draw28%
Virtus Entella39%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.40
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession54%
42%Territory41%
13%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.8%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cremonese, 3 for Virtus Entella. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.