Serie B · Matchweek 5
Carrarese
CAR
Benevento
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Carrarese48%
Draw26%
Benevento26%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.14
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benevento will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.
34%Possession45%
38%Territory32%
43%From set plays34%
0.08Chance quality0.06
4.2%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Carrarese, 3 for Benevento. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.