Serie B · Matchweek 5
Arezzo
ARE
Südtirol
SDT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arezzo31%
Draw29%
Südtirol40%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.33
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–09.6%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arezzo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession48%
33%Territory35%
29%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.06
9.6%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arezzo, 3 for Südtirol. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.