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Super League 1 · Matchweek 24

Kifisia FC

KIF

Panathinaikos

PAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kifisia FC27%
Draw27%
Panathinaikos46%

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.56

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 0–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

53%Possession61%
38%Territory51%
17%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.1%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kifisia FC, 3 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.