Super League 1 · Matchweek 24
Iraklis
IRA
Kalamata
KAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Iraklis37%
Draw27%
Kalamata36%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.44
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession42%
30%Territory32%
23%From set plays17%
0.07Chance quality0.13
8.3%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for Kalamata. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.