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Super League 1 · Matchweek 24

Atromitos

ATR

Levadiakos

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atromitos40%
Draw32%
Levadiakos28%

Expected goals

1.16 – 0.93

Over 2.5

35%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.5%
  • 0–013.9%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–111.3%
  • 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession46%
35%Territory42%
12%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.12
3.7%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Atromitos, 3 for Levadiakos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.