Super League 1 · Matchweek 24
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aris Thessaloniki51%
Draw26%
Asteras Tripolis23%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.07
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.7%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Aris Thessaloniki will have the ball; Asteras Tripolis will not mind.
58%Possession46%
37%Territory33%
25%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.11
8.5%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aris Thessaloniki, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Aris Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.